Monday, November 18, 2019

Captii (AWV.SI) - 3Q Results 2019 Update

Captii (AWV.SI) - 3Q Results 2019 Update

It's been a couple of boring years with this stock. Since my last write up here the stock has been slowly going down in price, though only very gradually and on very very small volume. This is consistent with its poorer results these past couple years and cut in dividend.

In any case, at a price of sub 40c, the valuation on this micro-cap is still looking quite good.

Let's have a closer look at the financials in simple Blue Fund style :

Market cap : ~12 million
NAV : $1.36 (up from 1.01 couple years back)
Price : $0.38(72% discount to NAV)
Net cash :  6m (previously 13.45 million)
Dividend yield : ~3.3% (based on 1.25cents, down from 2cent year before)
Earnings : already 8c+ (likely to hit 10c+ for FY results)

From the current numbers, even with the drop in share price, Captii does not really seem anymore attractive than before.  Since 2016 Captii has put on some debt, all of it short term at 1.5m. This has cut into the net cash pile which is now only 6m, half of what it was before. Having said that its still half of market cap, quite a significant chunk. The drop in dividend by half also means the yield is nothing to be excited about at 3.3%.

Positives is the NAV has risen to 1.36m, though a big portion, about a third is in intangibles and other financial assets. Captii's business also looks to be rather resilient in face of slowing global economy and trade tensions and most importantly still very profitable with high margins. It will be important to monitor losses from its venture investments though as these can result in bad results for the company despite a solid core business.

Will probably watch and wait a bit more to see what happens with the dividend payout in Q2 next year. Definitely worth accumulating more if management restores the 2.5c payout again. Captii is easily able to afford to pay that with the earnings of 8c+ its already made so far.

[author holds shares in this company]

6 comments:

  1. Any thoughts on the likelihood of this being a privitisation candidate?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Boss already owns >76% of the shares. So yes anytime could take it private. However business is not growing that fast and dont see any share buybacks or insider buys happening so do not think privatisation is on the cards anytime soon.

      Delete
  2. Great post boss. Did u enter accordia when it crashed recently ?

    ReplyDelete
  3. results just out and earnings for FY2019 was 6.5 cents. did I misunderstand your statement somehow? "already 8c+ (likely to hit 10c+ for FY results)"

    ReplyDelete
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